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TransferFeed valuation based on market analysis.
Based on available data, Atlético Madrid acquired the player from Manchester City in August 2024 for a total fee of €95 million, including fulfilled variables. During the tumultuous summer 2026 transfer window, reports indicated Barcelona made multiple rejected offers, including one for €90 million plus variables and another for €100 million, and was prepared to bid up to €130 million. Real Madrid was widely reported to have made a €150 million offer that was also rejected. Arsenal was similarly linked with bids in the €130-150 million range. Other valuations from reports included a potential €200 million offer from PSG and a minimum asking price of €120 million for clubs like Chelsea. Throughout the saga, Atlético Madrid frequently referred to the player's reported €500 million release clause.
Our valuation for Julián Álvarez is driven by intense interest from multiple elite clubs and a consistent pattern of high-value bids reported throughout the summer of 2026. Barcelona's rejected offers around €100 million establish a clear floor, while numerous reports of prepared or submitted bids from clubs like Real Madrid, Arsenal, and Chelsea in the €130-150 million range indicate the market consensus. Atlético Madrid's firm negotiating stance, especially against rivals, and their initial €95 million investment further support a valuation at the top end of this scale.
Rumored destinations and interested clubs.
Serhou Guirassy is the closest match according to our proprietary analysis of transfer rumours and club connections.
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